Enverus forecasts lower US data center growth through 2030

Enverus Intelligence® Research released an analysis forecasting 30 GW of new U.S. data center capacity by 2030 and assessing implications for Lower 48 natural gas demand through 2030.

• Main announcement: EIR forecasts 30 GW of new U.S. data center capacity by 2030 (vs. 50 GW projected by ERCOT and PJM), and quantifies natural gas implications including up to 4.1 Bcf/d incremental Lower 48 gas demand if all new capacity were gas-fired and a more likely 2.1 Bcf/d from behind-the-meter projects with dedicated gas generation; EIR cites a 15 GW (over 50%) reduction in proposed projects in Ohio due to higher power costs and stricter credit requirements.

• Background & details: EIR’s analysis uses Enverus products PRISM®, FOUNDATIONS®, and Mosaic, focuses on confirmed projects and real-world constraints, and provides unit examples (a 1 GW data center ≈ 140 MMcf/d of natural gas, <1% of Appalachia daily production). Report access: the full report requires an Enverus Intelligence® subscription.

  • Webinar: 2026 Power and Renewables Outlook on Dec. 16, 2025 at 10:00 a.m. CT (virtual webinar). Agenda includes: record U.S. power demand, capacity market price ceilings, renewables new-build share (~90%), shortfall in firming capacity, and strategies such as storage and flexible demand.